Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3181.628565 3432.684453 3686.724236 3962.705493 4253.734495 4551.185822 4877.845952
2024-12-29 2819.736150 3198.433848 3595.462467 4041.492464 4527.339085 5039.268826 5618.192982
2025-01-05 2557.262516 3011.804554 3501.054884 4064.255663 4692.074669 5367.851563 6147.625753
2025-01-12 2345.590587 2853.026570 3411.564970 4067.777399 4813.342339 5629.880048 6587.435073
2025-01-19 2100.502821 2635.074862 3236.123712 3955.905904 4788.220850 5714.301165 6816.296798
2025-01-26 2027.271204 2607.154283 3270.303804 4076.508074 5021.634482 6086.144741 7367.085737
2025-02-02 1941.628889 2556.848360 3271.808081 4153.360751 5200.066847 6392.301931 7841.638426
2025-02-09 1824.708352 2460.993859 3212.450998 4152.084833 5281.816206 6582.792462 8180.011743
2025-02-16 1705.665026 2355.408624 3135.003236 4123.194238 5325.729122 6725.115755 8459.326919
2025-02-23 1633.810352 2304.220799 3119.985837 4166.479039 5453.420886 6964.651866 8852.610365
2025-03-02 1545.424806 2227.189028 3068.736509 4161.450638 5519.479877 7128.637526 9155.034430
2025-03-09 1499.709003 2202.417089 3080.656793 4232.945064 5677.963620 7403.349127 9590.783971
2025-03-16 1410.566052 2118.021865 3015.160578 4206.571227 5716.252124 7534.733386 9857.963505
2025-03-23 1374.104396 2101.872794 3035.990764 4288.927133 5890.108837 7832.608288 10329.731431
2025-03-30 1316.215097 2053.780983 3012.771019 4312.716140 5988.890117 8037.604096 10688.358242
2025-04-06 1254.363776 1997.235512 2975.803376 4316.396447 6060.438842 8207.919461 11004.231385
2025-04-13 1150.359735 1877.222925 2849.918711 4199.470053 5973.855563 8177.872584 11069.398821
2025-04-20 1143.373459 1893.913867 2907.915732 4325.520076 6201.184268 8543.105785 11629.182727
2025-04-27 1120.403555 1886.365448 2931.974253 4405.822356 6369.173511 8834.206937 12097.881540
2025-05-04 1070.156266 1836.925372 2896.504111 4404.489304 6429.253308 8987.791696 12393.790582
2025-05-11 1013.083046 1774.908392 2841.290233 4374.303797 6449.640274 9089.570654 12623.704630
2025-05-18 983.991404 1753.390090 2841.848589 4419.527796 6569.636392 9319.433752 13017.350577
2025-05-25 940.373474 1707.957380 2806.831973 4414.274390 6621.206180 9460.472770 13297.751401